\u0130srail’de yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan sand\u0131k \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f anketlerine g\u00f6re, ne Ba\u015fbakan Binyamin Netanyahu ve ona destek veren partiler ne de muhalif blok, 120 sandalyeli Mecliste koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmak i\u00e7in gerekli 61 milletvekiline ula\u015fabilirken, \u00fclkede koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti belirsizli\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Netanyahu ve taraftarlar\u0131n\u0131n kampanyas\u0131n\u0131 Filistin kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerine kurdu\u011fu \u0130srail’deki genel se\u00e7imler d\u00fcn yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Sand\u0131klar\u0131n kapanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan oy say\u0131m\u0131na ba\u015flan\u0131rken, \u0130srail devlet televizyonu KAN, sand\u0131k \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f anketlerini kamuoyuyla payla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
KAN’\u0131n sand\u0131k \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f anketine g\u00f6re, mevcut Mecliste 32 sandalyeye sahip Netanyahu’nun partisi Likud oy kaybederek 25 sandalyeye gerilirken birinci s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Eski Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Gadi Eisenkot liderli\u011findeki ve ilk kez se\u00e7imlere kat\u0131lan Yashar Partisi 21 milletvekiliyle, Likud’un ard\u0131ndan ikinci s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
– \u0130srail vatanda\u015f\u0131 Filistinlileri temsil eden partiler kilit konumda<\/p>\n
Sand\u0131k \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f anketlerine g\u00f6re, eski ba\u015fbakanlar Naftali Bennett ve Yair Lapid liderli\u011findeki Beyahad (Birlikte) Partisi 13, eski Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Yair Golan’\u0131n Demokrat Partisi 10, Avigdor Liberman’\u0131n \u0130srail Evimiz Partisi ise 8 milletvekili \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n
Mevcut iktidar blokunda yer alan Ultra-Ortodoks Yahudilerin (Haredi) \u015eas Partisi ve Birle\u015fik Tevrat Yahudili\u011fi 6’\u015far sandalyeyle se\u00e7im yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Yine Netanyahu’nun m\u00fcttefikleri a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131 bakanlar Itamar Ben-Gvir’in Yahudi G\u00fcc\u00fc Partisi 7, Bezalel Smotrich’in Dini Siyonizm Partisi 6 milletvekili \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail vatanda\u015f\u0131 Filistinlileri temsil eden Hadash, Taal ve Balad partilerinin olu\u015fturdu\u011fu Ortak Liste 11 milletvekili \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken, Mansur Abbas liderli\u011findeki Raam Partisi (Birle\u015fik Liste) ise Meclis’te 7 milletvekiliyle temsil edilecek.<\/p>\n
Bu sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re, ne Netanyahu bloku ne de muhalif blok h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurmak i\u00e7in gerekli 61 milletvekiline ula\u015famazken, \u0130srail vatanda\u015f\u0131 Filistinlileri temsil eden partiler 18 milletvekiliyle Mecliste kilit konuma ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
– Koalisyon senaryolar\u0131 g\u00fcndemde<\/p>\n
Netanyahu’ya destek veren blok veya muhalif partilerin h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmak i\u00e7in gerekli sandalyeye ula\u015famamas\u0131 nedeniyle \u0130srail’de bir kez daha koalisyon belirsizli\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti senaryolar\u0131 \u00fclkenin g\u00fcndemine oturdu. Koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmetleriyle y\u00f6netilen ve ad\u0131 s\u0131k s\u0131k erken se\u00e7imlerle an\u0131lan \u0130srail’de d\u00fcnk\u00fc genel se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan 3 senaryo \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
– Eisenkot’un liderli\u011finde az\u0131nl\u0131k h\u00fck\u00fcmeti<\/p>\n
\u0130srail’de dillendirilen senaryolar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda Yashar Partisi lideri Eisenkot’un liderli\u011finde kurulacak az\u0131nl\u0131k h\u00fck\u00fcmeti geliyor.<\/p>\n
Sand\u0131k \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f anketlerine g\u00f6re, Eisenkot ve ona destek vermesi muhtemel partilerin sandalye say\u0131s\u0131 52 olarak g\u00f6steriliyor ve koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmetini kuracak say\u0131ya ula\u015fam\u0131yor. Bu durumda, bu blo\u011fa d\u0131\u015fardan partilerin destek vererek az\u0131nl\u0131k h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurulabilece\u011fi dile getiriliyor.<\/p>\n
Bu senaryoda g\u00f6zler \u0130srail vatanda\u015f\u0131 Filistinlileri temsil eden partilere \u00e7evriliyor. Mansur Abbas liderli\u011findeki Raam Partisi, Netanyahu’yu devirmek i\u00e7in Bennett-Lapid liderli\u011findeki koalisyona destek vermi\u015fti. Abbas’\u0131n d\u0131\u015fardan deste\u011fiyle Bennett-Lapid ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurulmu\u015ftu. Ancak, Abbas Eisenkot liderli\u011findeki bloka destek verse bile milletvekili say\u0131s\u0131 59’da kal\u0131yor ve h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmaya yetmiyor.<\/p>\n
Bu nedenle Eisenkot’un \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki blokun az\u0131nl\u0131k h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Ortak Liste’nin de deste\u011fine ihtiyac\u0131 var. Ortak Liste’nin b\u00f6yle bir deste\u011fi verip vermeyece\u011fi veya Eisenkot’un Filistin as\u0131ll\u0131lar\u0131n destekledi\u011fi bir az\u0131nl\u0131k h\u00fck\u00fcmetini kabul edip etmeyece\u011fi \u015fu an i\u00e7in belirsizli\u011fini koruyor.<\/p>\n
– Ulusal Birlik H\u00fck\u00fcmeti<\/p>\n
Bir ba\u015fka senaryo ise Netanyahu ve Eisenkot’un d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcml\u00fc ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k konusunda anla\u015farak ulusal birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmas\u0131 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu senaryoda, Likud, Yashar, Beyahad (Birlikte) Partisi, Demokrat Parti, Haredilerin \u015eas ve Birle\u015fik Tevrat Yahudili\u011fi partilerinin bir araya gelerek geni\u015f tabanl\u0131 bir ulusal birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmas\u0131 dillendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
Toplamda 81 sandalye \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131 beklenen bu partiler koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmetini kurmak i\u00e7in gerekli sandalye say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde milletvekiline sahip ancak bu senaryoda da bir\u00e7ok soru i\u015fareti var.<\/p>\n
Zira Eisenkot, se\u00e7imlerden \u00f6nce yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda s\u0131k s\u0131k Netanyahu ile koalisyon masas\u0131na oturmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getirmi\u015fti. Ayr\u0131ca Eisenkot, Lapid-Bennett bu ulusal birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmetinde yer alacak \u015eas ve Birle\u015fik Tevrat Yahudili\u011fi’nin temsil etti\u011fi Haredilerin (Ultra-Ortodoks Yahudiler) zorunlu askerli\u011fe tabi tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor.<\/p>\n
\u015eas ve Birle\u015fik Tevrat ise bu tasar\u0131ya uzun zamand\u0131r kar\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011funu, bu tasar\u0131y\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karmak isteyen bir h\u00fck\u00fcmette yer almayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getiriyor.<\/p>\n
– \u0130ran’a olas\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmetinde belirleyici olabilir<\/p>\n
Ulusal birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmeti i\u00e7in s\u00f6z konusu partilerin bir araya gelmesi zor g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de olas\u0131 \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n dengeleri de\u011fi\u015ftirebilece\u011fi ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Tel Aviv’in ABD ile birlikte \u0130ran’a olas\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 yeniden ba\u015flatmas\u0131 halinde Eisenkot’un hem ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, hem de \u0130srail kamuoyunun bask\u0131s\u0131yla Netanyahu ile ulusal birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmetine kat\u0131labilece\u011fi yorumlar\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
– Son senaryo yeniden erken se\u00e7im<\/p>\n
\u0130srail’de dile getirilen \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc senaryo ise taraflar\u0131n koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmetini kurma konusunda anla\u015fmaya varamamas\u0131 halinde \u00fclkede yeniden erken se\u00e7ime gidilmesi olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Kesin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131ndan sonra Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Isaac Herzog, koalisyon kurmaya en yak\u0131n g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aday\u0131 h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmakla g\u00f6revlendirecek.<\/p>\n
H\u00fck\u00fcmet kurmak i\u00e7in g\u00f6revlendirilen isim, sert ge\u00e7mesi beklenen koalisyon pazarl\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in 28 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir s\u00fcreye sahip olacak ve ihtiya\u00e7 halinde bu s\u00fcreye 14 g\u00fcn daha eklenebilecek.<\/p>\n
Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6revlendirdi\u011fi isim h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kuramazsa, cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 yeniden isti\u015fare yaparak Meclis i\u00e7inde ba\u015fka bir isme h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurmas\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00f6rev verebilir. Bu ismin 28 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde koalisyon kurmas\u0131 gerekiyor. E\u011fer hala h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurulamazsa, \u0130srail Meclisinin i\u00e7inden bir ki\u015finin 61 milletvekilinin imzas\u0131n\u0131 toplamas\u0131 i\u00e7in 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck s\u00fcre ba\u015fl\u0131yor. E\u011fer 61 milletvekili sa\u011flan\u0131rsa bu ki\u015finin iki hafta i\u00e7inde h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmas\u0131 gerekiyor. E\u011fer sa\u011flayamazsa Meclis la\u011fvediliyor ve \u00fclkede 3 ay i\u00e7inde se\u00e7ime gidilmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
\u00dclke, benzer koalisyon anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131 sebebiyle 2019 ile 2022 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda art arda be\u015f kez erken genel se\u00e7ime gitmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
\u00a0<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u0130srail’de yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan sand\u0131k \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f anketlerine g\u00f6re, ne Ba\u015fbakan Binyamin Netanyahu ve ona destek veren partiler ne de muhalif blok, 120 sandalyeli Mecliste koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmak i\u00e7in gerekli 61 milletvekiline ula\u015fabilirken, \u00fclkede koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti belirsizli\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Netanyahu ve taraftarlar\u0131n\u0131n kampanyas\u0131n\u0131 Filistin kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerine kurdu\u011fu \u0130srail’deki genel se\u00e7imler d\u00fcn yap\u0131ld\u0131. Sand\u0131klar\u0131n kapanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":162584,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[10386,1411,19353,4972,357,1209,1689,378,3996,5245,20589],"class_list":["post-162583","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","tag-anketlerine","tag-ardindan","tag-belirsizligi","tag-cikis","tag-cikti","tag-gore","tag-hukumeti","tag-israildeki","tag-koalisyon","tag-sandik","tag-secimlerin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/162583"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=162583"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/162583\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/162584"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=162583"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=162583"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=162583"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}