{"id":151409,"date":"2026-09-06T13:50:23","date_gmt":"2026-09-06T10:50:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/cevdet-yilmaz-yil-sonu-enflasyon-tahminimiz-yuzde-284e-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-09-06T13:50:23","modified_gmt":"2026-09-06T10:50:23","slug":"cevdet-yilmaz-yil-sonu-enflasyon-tahminimiz-yuzde-284e-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/cevdet-yilmaz-yil-sonu-enflasyon-tahminimiz-yuzde-284e-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz: \u201cY\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminimiz y\u00fczde 28,4&#8217;e y\u00fckseldi\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz, &#8220;Uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z politikalar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde TL&#8217;ye g\u00fcven artmaya devam etmi\u015f, TL mevduat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n toplam mevduat i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 31,6 seviyesinden 28 A\u011fustos itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 61,5 seviyesine y\u00fckselmesi, izledi\u011fimiz politikalar\u0131n isabetli oldu\u011funun somut g\u00f6stergesi olmu\u015ftur.&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131lmaz, Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 K\u00fclliyesi&#8217;nde, Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek, Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Genel Sekreteri Hakk\u0131 Susmaz, Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Strateji ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u0130brahim \u015eenel, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fatih Karahan ile 2027-2029 d\u00f6nemini i\u00e7eren Orta Vadeli Program&#8217;\u0131 (OVP) a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>OVP&#8217;nin her y\u0131l oldu\u011fu gibi bu y\u0131l da Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Strateji ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile Hazine ve Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fc\u015fterek \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131yla haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Y\u0131lmaz, &#8220;Haz\u0131rl\u0131k s\u00fcrecine bakanl\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z ile ilgili kamu kurum ve kurulu\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z \u00f6nemli katk\u0131 sunmu\u015f, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r ve meslek kurulu\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ve de\u011ferlendirmeleri al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ortak akl\u0131 ve kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 esas alan bir anlay\u0131\u015fla haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z Program\u0131m\u0131zda, ilgili t\u00fcm taraflarla y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz isti\u015fareler de politika ve tedbirlerimize yans\u0131t\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.&#8221; ifadesini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Sunumda \u00f6ncelikle d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki mevcut g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme de\u011finilece\u011fini, ard\u0131ndan uygulamakta olduklar\u0131 program kapsam\u0131nda bug\u00fcne kadar kaydettikleri mesafe ve sonras\u0131nda 2027-2029 d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin makroekonomik hedefleri payla\u015facaklar\u0131n\u0131 aktaran Y\u0131lmaz, belirlenen hedeflere nas\u0131l ula\u015facaklar\u0131na dair \u00f6ncelikli reform alanlar\u0131n\u0131, planlanan politika ve tedbirleri ortaya koyacaklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Gelecek \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131la ili\u015fkin temel politika belgesi olan OVP&#8217;nin, Kalk\u0131nma Plan\u0131 do\u011frultusunda haz\u0131rlanan ve her y\u0131l g\u00fcncellenen \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir politika \u00e7er\u00e7evesi sundu\u011funu vurgulayan Y\u0131lmaz, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Program, makroekonomik hedef ve tahminlerimizi, gelir ve gider ile bor\u00e7lanma g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc, kamu idarelerinin \u00f6denek teklif tavanlar\u0131n\u0131 ve reform g\u00fcndemimizi ortaya koymakta, ayn\u0131 zamanda b\u00fct\u00e7e s\u00fcrecinin temel \u00e7er\u00e7evesini olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. D\u00fcnya ekonomisi, son d\u00f6nemde ekonomik, teknolojik ve jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerin i\u00e7 i\u00e7e ge\u00e7ti\u011fi, \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirli\u011fin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve risklerin tarihi y\u00fcksek seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni bir s\u00fcre\u00e7ten ge\u00e7mektedir. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi de elbette d\u00fcnyadan ve b\u00f6lgemizde ya\u015fanan bu geli\u015fmelerden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z de\u011fildir. \u00d6zellikle b\u00f6lgemizde ya\u015fanan sava\u015f\u0131n do\u011frudan ve dolayl\u0131 etkileri, enerji ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndan k\u00fcresel ticarete, enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnden b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerine kadar bir\u00e7ok alanda hissedilmektedir. Bunun yan\u0131nda geleneksel tarife art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131nda yeni nesil korumac\u0131l\u0131k e\u011filimleri ve ticaret politikalar\u0131ndaki belirsizlikler de k\u00fcresel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc etkilemektedir.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; &#8220;64,3 dolar olarak varsayd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z Brent petrol 89,3 dolara y\u00fckseldi&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Y\u0131lmaz, program\u0131n makroekonomik \u00e7er\u00e7evesini olu\u015ftururken, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l esas ald\u0131klar\u0131 varsay\u0131mlar\u0131n bu y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda b\u00f6lgedeki sava\u015f ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde ya\u015fanan hadiseler do\u011frultusunda g\u00fcncellendi\u011fini bildirerek, \u015fu bilgileri verdi:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz OVP&#8217;deki varsay\u0131mlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda gelen k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 3,1&#8217;den y\u00fczde 3&#8217;e geriledi. Ticaret ortaklar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 2,4&#8217;ten y\u00fczde 1,6&#8217;ya, Avro B\u00f6lgesi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 1,2&#8217;den y\u00fczde 0,9&#8217;a gerilerken b\u00f6lgemizde ya\u015fanan sava\u015f\u0131n etkisinin en belirgin g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Orta Do\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika (MENA) \u00fclkelerinde ise y\u00fczde 3,4 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen b\u00fcy\u00fcme, y\u00fczde eksi 0,5&#8217;e kadar geriledi. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l OVP&#8217;yi haz\u0131rlarken uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar\u0131n tahminleriyle uyumlu olarak 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in 64,3 dolar olarak varsayd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z Brent petrol fiyat\u0131 ortalamada 89,3 dolara y\u00fckseldi. Enerji d\u0131\u015f\u0131 emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5,7 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklerken, bug\u00fcn y\u00fczde 18,6 oran\u0131nda bir art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. K\u00fcresel enflasyon tahmini ise bu geli\u015fmelere ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak y\u00fczde 3,6&#8217;dan y\u00fczde 4,7&#8217;ye y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumdad\u0131r.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; &#8220;2026 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminimizi y\u00fczde 3,3 olarak g\u00fcncelledik&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6zellikle sava\u015fla birlikte enerji ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan arz y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131lar\u0131n ve T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin ba\u015fl\u0131ca ticaret ortaklar\u0131ndaki zay\u0131flaman\u0131n do\u011fal olarak 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 tahminlerine de yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatan Y\u0131lmaz, s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;2026 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminimizi y\u00fczde 3,3 olarak g\u00fcncelledik. Sanayi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi tahminimiz y\u00fczde 2,3&#8217;e gerilerken, y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminimiz y\u00fczde 28,4&#8217;e y\u00fckseldi. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin d\u0131\u015f dengemiz \u00fczerinde do\u011frudan etkisiyle enerji ithalat\u0131 tahminimiz 63 milyar dolardan 71 milyar dolara y\u00fckselirken, d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminimiz 96 milyar dolardan 105 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131na ili\u015fkin tahminimizi de y\u00fczde 2,6&#8217;ya g\u00fcncelledik. Turizm gelirleri tahminimiz ise yine sava\u015f\u0131n etkisiyle 68 milyar dolardan 65 milyar dolara revize edilmi\u015ftir. Bu g\u00fcncellemeler program\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcnde veya ana \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik anlam\u0131na gelmemektedir. Nitekim ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen \u00f6l\u00e7ekte ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan sava\u015f ve beraberinde getirdi\u011fi enerji ve emtia \u015foku, d\u0131\u015f talepteki zay\u0131flamayla birlikte t\u00fcm ekonomiler \u00fczerinde ilave bir y\u00fck olu\u015fturmu\u015ftur. Buna ra\u011fmen T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi \u00fcretmeye, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ve istihdam olu\u015fturmaya devam etmektedir.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; &#8220;\u0130hracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 \u015foklara daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 hale getirme \u00e7abam\u0131z devam edecek&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131lmaz, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n hem k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin hem de d\u00fcnya ticaretinin belirgin bi\u00e7imde ivme kaybetti\u011fi bir y\u0131l olarak kar\u015f\u0131lar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izerek, &#8220;Bununla birlikte, 2027 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentiler k\u00fcresel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde yeniden bir toparlanmaya i\u015faret etmektedir. K\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 3,4&#8217;e, k\u00fcresel ticaret hacmindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ise y\u00fczde 4,3&#8217;e y\u00fckselmesi beklenmektedir. \u00d6zellikle k\u00fcresel ticarette beklenen bu canlanman\u0131n, d\u0131\u015f talep ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n iyile\u015fmesine ve ihracat\u00e7\u0131 \u00fclkeler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha destekleyici bir ortam\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131na katk\u0131 sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz.&#8221; diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin ihracat\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 96&#8217;s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan ba\u015fl\u0131ca ticaret ortaklar\u0131n\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 2025 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 2,4 seviyesinden 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1,6&#8217;ya gerilemesini beklediklerini anlatan Y\u0131lmaz, \u015funlar\u0131 payla\u015ft\u0131:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;2027 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise d\u0131\u015f talep ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden iyile\u015fmesiyle bu oran\u0131n y\u00fczde 2,8&#8217;e y\u00fckselmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu zay\u0131flama, ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 43&#8217;\u00fcn\u00fc ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fimiz Avrupa Birli\u011fi ile y\u00fczde 22&#8217;sini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fimiz MENA B\u00f6lgesinde \u00f6zellikle dikkat \u00e7ekicidir. En b\u00fcy\u00fck ihracat pazar\u0131m\u0131z olan Avrupa Birli\u011fi&#8217;nde 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1,6 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1,2&#8217;ye gerilemesi, 2027 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir toparlanmayla y\u00fczde 1,4 seviyesine y\u00fckselmesi beklenmektedir. MENA B\u00f6lgesinde ise sava\u015f\u0131n ve jeopolitik gerilimlerin ekonomik faaliyet \u00fczerindeki etkisi \u00e7ok daha belirgindir. 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen b\u00f6lge ekonomisinin, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,5 oran\u0131nda daralaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin edilmektedir. 2027 y\u0131l\u0131nda beklenen y\u00fczde 7,3&#8217;l\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmede ise 2026 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki bu sert daralman\u0131n olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 baz etkisinin \u00f6nemli rol oynayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, AB ve MENA b\u00f6lgelerinin toplam ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7te ikisini olu\u015fturdu\u011fu dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 2026&#8217;da ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n olduk\u00e7a zorlu bir d\u0131\u015f talep ortam\u0131na ra\u011fmen ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir performans sergiledikleri g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Y\u0131llar i\u00e7erisinde ihracat pazarlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7e\u015fitlendiren \u00fclkemizin mevcut pazardaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc konumunu korurken, yeni pazarlara eri\u015fimini art\u0131rma, ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 hale getirme \u00e7abam\u0131z \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde de devam edecek.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; &#8220;Sava\u015fla jeopolitik risk endeksi \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Y\u0131lmaz, k\u00fcresel ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u00fczerinde belirleyici olan unsurlardan birinin de jeopolitik risklerde ya\u015fanan belirgin art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funa dikkati \u00e7ekerek, \u015funlar\u0131 dile getirdi:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte jeopolitik risk endeksinin \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Sava\u015f \u00f6ncesinde uzun d\u00f6nem ortalamas\u0131 etraf\u0131nda seyreden endeks, sava\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan tarihsel ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f ve y\u00fcksek bir oynakl\u0131k y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. Jeopolitik gerilimler enerji ve emtia piyasalar\u0131ndan ticaret ve lojistik hatlar\u0131na, yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131ndan finansal piyasalara kadar bir\u00e7ok kanal \u00fczerinden d\u00fcnya ekonomisine yay\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Bu geli\u015fmeleri ve olu\u015fturabilecekleri ilave riskleri yak\u0131ndan takip ediyor, etkileri s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 tedbirler al\u0131yor, ekonomi politikalar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 farkl\u0131 senaryolar\u0131 dikkate alan, d\u0131\u015fsal \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren bir anlay\u0131\u015fla y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyoruz. K\u00fcresel arz ko\u015fullar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan fiyat hareketlerinin bir taraftan enerji ithalat maliyetlerimizi ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengemizi etkilerken, di\u011fer taraftan \u00fcretim ve ula\u015ft\u0131rma maliyetleri \u00fczerinden enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne de yans\u0131maktad\u0131r. Nitekim ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in 63 milyar dolar olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz enerji ithalat\u0131 tahminimizi, bu y\u0131l 71 milyar dolara g\u00fcncellememizde de bu geli\u015fmeler etkili olmu\u015ftur.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; &#8220;G\u00f6stergeler, program\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n somut sonu\u00e7lar \u00fcretti\u011fini ortaya koymakta&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Program\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 hayata ge\u00e7irdi\u011fimiz g\u00fcnden bu yana temel \u00f6nceli\u011fimiz, makroekonomik istikrar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek, ekonomide dengelenmeyi sa\u011flamak, enflasyonu kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek ve kazan\u0131mlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir hale getirmek olmu\u015ftur&#8221; ifadesini kullanan Y\u0131lmaz, \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Payla\u015faca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6stergeler, son d\u00f6nemde kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ilave d\u0131\u015fsal \u015foklara ra\u011fmen program\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n temel alanlarda somut sonu\u00e7lar \u00fcretmeye devam etti\u011fini ortaya koymaktad\u0131r. Program\u0131m\u0131z kapsam\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n t\u00fcketimin \u00fczerinde seyretti\u011fi, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin kompozisyonunda daha dengeli, \u00fcretken ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir yap\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmekteyiz. Yeni yat\u0131r\u0131mlar \u00fcretim kapasitesini geni\u015fletmekte, teknolojik d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc ve verimlilik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 desteklemekte, ayn\u0131 zamanda yeni istihdam imkanlar\u0131 olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Nitekim son y\u0131llarda Toplam Fakt\u00f6r Verimlili\u011finin (TFV) b\u00fcy\u00fcmemize daha fazla olumlu etkide bulundu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z zaman 2026&#8217;da \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz 3,3&#8217;l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 1,2 puan\u0131n\u0131 Toplam Fakt\u00f6r Verimlili\u011fi kaynakl\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. T\u00fcketim a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 bir yap\u0131 yerine \u00fcretim kapasitesini art\u0131ran yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, enflasyonla m\u00fccadeleyi destekleyen, d\u0131\u015f denge \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131lar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayan ve potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcmemizi y\u00fckselten daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir makroekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sunmaktad\u0131r.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; &#8220;Risk primimiz 220 seviyesinin de alt\u0131na inmi\u015ftir&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131lmaz, &#8220;Uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z politikalar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde TL&#8217;ye g\u00fcven artmaya devam etmi\u015f, TL mevduat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n toplam mevduat i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 31,6 seviyesinden 28 A\u011fustos itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 61,5 seviyesine y\u00fckselmesi izledi\u011fimiz politikalar\u0131n isabetli oldu\u011funun somut g\u00f6stergesi olmu\u015ftur.&#8221; de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n<p>Ko\u015fullu y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerden olan KKM&#8217;den \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n sorunsuz \u015fekilde tamamland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 an\u0131msatan Y\u0131lmaz, &#8220;Kararl\u0131l\u0131kla uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z politikalarla k\u00fcresel ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmdeki belirsizliklere ve jeopolitik risklere ra\u011fmen br\u00fct rezervlerimiz 89,7 milyar dolar artarak, 188,2 milyar dolara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Rezervlerde sa\u011flanan bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc art\u0131\u015f ekonomimizin d\u0131\u015f \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 desteklemektedir. Jeopolitik gerilimlere ra\u011fmen risk primimiz de \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde gerilemi\u015f ve 700&#8217;l\u00fc seviyelerden 220 seviyesinin de alt\u0131na inmi\u015ftir. Bu \u00f6nemli geli\u015fme gerek kamu gerekse \u00f6zel kesimin yabanc\u0131 para cinsi bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131nda faiz y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya \u00e7ekmi\u015ftir.&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; &#8220;Y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ihracat\u0131m\u0131z a\u011fustos itibar\u0131yla 280 milyar dolara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Kaydettikleri mesafenin \u00f6nemli g\u00f6stergelerinden birinin de ihracattaki olumlu seyir ve ihracat\u0131n teknoloji kompozisyonundaki iyile\u015fme oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eden Y\u0131lmaz, \u015fu bilgileri verdi:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ihracat\u0131m\u0131z, ticaret ortaklar\u0131m\u0131zdaki belirgin yava\u015flamaya ve zorlu d\u0131\u015f talep ko\u015fullar\u0131na ra\u011fmen a\u011fustos ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla 280 milyar dolar seviyesine ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u0130hracat\u0131m\u0131z nitelik olarak da g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015f ve 2024 A\u011fustos&#8217;unda y\u00fczde 40 seviyesinde olan orta ve y\u00fcksek teknolojili \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin toplam ihracat\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7erisindeki pay\u0131, 2026 A\u011fustos ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 44,1&#8217;e ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece bir taraftan ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor, di\u011fer taraftan ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek teknoloji ve katma de\u011fere dayal\u0131 bir yap\u0131ya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcyoruz. \u0130hracat\u0131m\u0131zdaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performansa ra\u011fmen enerji ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f, d\u0131\u015f dengemiz \u00fczerinde ge\u00e7ici bir bask\u0131 olu\u015fturmu\u015ftur. Cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1,8, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 1,6 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla bu oran y\u00fczde 2,3&#8217;e y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015fin i\u00e7erisinde 0,7 puanl\u0131k fark\u0131n sava\u015f nedeniyle geldi\u011fini hesaplamaktay\u0131z. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bunu \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z zaman yap\u0131sal bir bozulma olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 net bir \u015fekilde g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ayr\u0131ca, mevcut seviyenin, 2000-2025 d\u00f6nemi uzun d\u00f6nem ortalamas\u0131 olan y\u00fczde 3,2&#8217;nin belirgin alt\u0131nda ve y\u00f6netilebilir seviyede oldu\u011funu \u00f6zellikle vurgulamak isterim. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla d\u0131\u015f dengede daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 bir yap\u0131 s\u00f6z konusudur.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz, &#8220;Uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z politikalar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde TL&#8217;ye g\u00fcven artmaya devam etmi\u015f, TL mevduat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n toplam mevduat i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 31,6 seviyesinden 28 A\u011fustos itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 61,5 seviyesine y\u00fckselmesi, izledi\u011fimiz politikalar\u0131n isabetli oldu\u011funun somut g\u00f6stergesi olmu\u015ftur.&#8221; dedi. Y\u0131lmaz, Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 K\u00fclliyesi&#8217;nde, Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek, Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Genel Sekreteri Hakk\u0131 Susmaz, Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Strateji ve B\u00fct\u00e7e &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":151410,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[48833,1645,749,771,48832,83,185,335,751],"class_list":["post-151409","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-turkiye","tag-284e","tag-cevdet","tag-enflasyon","tag-sonu","tag-tahminimiz","tag-yil","tag-yilmaz","tag-yukseldi","tag-yuzde"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/151409"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=151409"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/151409\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/151410"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=151409"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=151409"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kibrishost.com\/tak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=151409"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}